Data drift, where production input distributions diverge | AIGP
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Data drift, where production input distributions diverge: Which factor does the evidence most directly

AIGP Understanding How to Govern AI Development Hard

A steadily shifting input distribution against unchanged weights, with good launch performance, is the signature of data drift.

The question

A fraud model that performed well at launch now generates rising false positives; analysis shows the input feature distribution has moved steadily away from the training data over eight months while the model weights are unchanged. Cross-functional stakeholders convene to name the primary contributing factor. Which factor does the evidence most directly indicate?

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  1. Data drift, where production input distributions diverge over time from the training data the model learned from.
    Correct because III.C.5 lists model or data drift among incident causes, and a steadily shifting input distribution with fixed weights is drift.
  2. Model brittleness, where small perturbed or adversarial inputs cause disproportionate, unstable failures.
    Almost right because brittleness is a listed cause, but the evidence shows gradual distribution shift, not perturbation sensitivity.
  3. Insufficient pre-release testing, where evaluation coverage failed to exercise the conditions the model would later face.
    Plausible but wrong: the model performed well at launch, indicating adequate initial testing rather than a coverage gap.
  4. Poor training-data quality, where mislabeled or noisy records degraded the model's learned decision boundaries from the start.
    Plausible but wrong: strong launch performance argues against foundational data-quality defects as the primary cause.
The trap
Blaming initial data quality or testing for degradation that the timeline shows is drift.

How to remember it

A steadily shifting input distribution against unchanged weights, with good launch performance, is the signature of data drift.

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